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Using simple yet intuitive metrics, the Sports Metrics Lab provides clean, valuable, and unique data. The Sports Metrics Lab provides original and objective metrics by which to measure the performance of teams and athletes. More statistics are always being added. Check back soon for more updates!
The Dynamic Transitive Record Summary (DTRS) is the central equation of the Sports Metrics Lab. It is a simple and intuitive metric used to ranks teams and to build other metrics. The DTRS was formerly known as the Transitive Head-to-head Conglomerate (THC) but as the algorithm was improved, the name was updated to match the sophistication of the equation and better represent the goals and abilities of the rating system. It is a self-correcting formula that intuitively rates teams based on a team's schedule and results compared with the DRA scores of individual opponents. Analyzing a team's actual performance rather than subjective analysis or an emphasis on a biased category of irrelevant statistics allows the DTRS system to objectively and accurately analyze and evaluate all teams competing within a pool. The DTRS is calibrated to analyze individual teams by tracking a group of teams as they play one another. The DTRS is self correcting and gets more accurate as more data becomes available. It is designed for groups, large or small, that play a common field and at least requires that teams have a large number of common opponents. The DTRS is the basis for a few valuable indexes at the Sports Metrics Lab. The first is the DTRS score itself, and the others are the Static Transitive Record Summary, Compounded Season Aggregate, and the Season Outcome Analysis which are all based on the DTRS score.
DISCLAIMER: Although the DTRS is available during the season, it not a predictive metric. It is purely analytical in nature.
The Static Transitive Record Summary (STRS), also known as Adjusted DTRS, is a companion statistic to the DTRS. Where the DTRS is dynamic, the STRS is static. Rather that continually changing throughout the season, the STRS uses the DTRS results as a base value for teams and constantly refers back to this static base value for evaluation. So, instead of dynamically analyzing each team at the time of a specific matchup, the STRS analyzed a teams performance against an opponent's eventual results.
The Compounded Season Aggregate (CSA), also known as Layered DTRS or Compounded DTRS, is the flagship metric of the Sports Metrics Lab. In order to stay completely objective and accurate the CSA uses post season ratings to establish preseason expectations. The DTRS operates under the assumption that all teams start equal whereas in CSA that assumption is adjusted to actual results. So, in CSA a teams' final DTRS result is retroactively factored into a team's base score, then a similar equation is applied to the schedule and results.
The Season Outcome Analysis (SOA) is a metric to determine if a season has a positive or negative outcome. The SOA uses the CSA scale to measure a teams performance from its base value against the average. A score above .500 generally indicates a a positive, or successful, season while a score below .500 generally indicates a negative, or unsuccessful, season. Much like the Mendoza Line in baseball, .300 represents a line of mediocrity. Anything below this line would be considered very negative.
Select the league or organization to see current rankings and additional information.
The DTRS rating system was retroactively applied to past seasons. Data was manually input into the algorithm. Select the league or organization to see current rankings and additional information, or check out some of the previous years from the Mountain West below.
The entirety of the regular season was analyzed and the results are as follows:
2021 Football:
| TEAM | RECORD | FINAL CSA | SOA |
| 1. San Diego State* | 12-2 (7-1) | 12,245 | .716 |
| 2. Fresno State | 10-3 (6-2) | 10,201 | .634 |
| 3. Air Force | 10-3 (6-2) | 10,022 | .623 |
| 4. Utah State* | 11-3 (6-2) | 9,757 | .613 |
| 5. Boise State | 7-5 (5-3) | 8,467 | .559 |
| 6. Nevada | 8-5 (5-3) | 8,087 | .539 |
| 7. Hawaii | 6-7 (3-5) | 5,671 | .418 |
| 8. San Jose State | 5-7 (3-5) | 5,255 | .393 |
| 9. Wyoming | 7-6 (2-6) | 4,833 | .372 |
| 10. UNLV | 2-10 (2-6) | 4,312 | .338 |
| 11. Colorado State | 3-9 (2-6) | 4,183 | .330 |
| 12. New Mexico | 3-9 (1-7) | 3,358 | .278 |
2021-2022 Basketball:
| TEAM | RECORD | Final CSA | SOA | Final DTRS |
| 1. Boise State* ** | 27-8 (15-3) | 25,309 | .678 | 70.40 (1) |
| 2. Colorado State | 25-6 (14-4) | 24,471 | .685 | 69.04 (2) |
| 3. San Diego State | 23-9 (13-4) | 22,480 | .626 | 65.75 (3) |
| 4. Wyoming | 25-9 (15-5) | 21,270 | .601 | 63.92 (4) |
| 5. UNLV | 18-14 (10-8) | 17,460 | .525 | 56.89 (5) |
| 6. Fresno State | 23-13 (8-9) | 14,121 | .448 | 51.01 (6) |
| 7. Utah State | 18-16 (8-10) | 13,907 | .444 | 50.36 (7) |
| 8. New Mexico | 5-12 (13-19) | 11,508 | .386 | 45.26 (8) |
| 9. Nevada | 13-18 (6-12) | 11,244 | .378 | 45.10 (9) |
| 10. Air Force | 11-18 (4-13) | 9,695 | .338 | 41.64 (10) |
| 11. San Jose State | 8-23 (1-17) | 6,734 | .253 | 34.63 (11) |
2020 Football:
| TEAM | RECORD | Final CSA | SOA |
| 1. San Jose State* | 7-0 (7-1) | 12,720 | .739 |
| 2. Boise State* | 5-0 (5-2) | 11,340 | .684 |
| 3. Nevada | 7-2 (6-2) | 9,712 | .611 |
| 4. San Diego State | 4-4 (4-2) | 8,359 | .551 |
| 5. Hawaii | 5-4 (4-4) | 6,982 | .487 |
| 6. Air Force | 4-4 (3-3) | 6,814 | .478 |
| 7. Fresno State | 3-3 (3-3) | 6,604 | .465 |
| 8. Colorado State | 1-3 (1-3) | 5,564 | .411 |
| 9. Wyoming | 2-4 (2-4) | 5,435 | .404 |
| 10. New Mexico | 2-5 (2-5) | 5,263 | .395 |
| 11. Utah State | 1-5 (1-6) | 4,289 | .337 |
| 12. UNLV | 0-6 (0-6) | 3,319 | .275 |
2020-21 Basketball:
| TEAM | RECORD | Final CSA | SOA |
| 1. San Diego State* ** | 24-5 (16-3) | 27,106 | .710 |
| 2. Utah State | 20-9 (15-4) | 24,462 | .662 |
| 3. Colorado State | 20-8 (14-4) | 21,255 | .601 |
| 4. Boise State | 19-9 (14-6) | 21,238 | .600 |
| 5. Nevada | 16-10 (10-7) | 18,436 | .546 |
| 6. Wyoming | 14-11 (7-9) | 13,995 | .446 |
| 7. Fresno State | 12-12 (9-11) | 13,668 | .437 |
| 8. UNLV | 12-16 (8-10) | 13,485 | .433 |
| 9. San Jose State | 5-16 (3-13) | 9,176 | .323 |
| 10. New Mexico | 6-16 (2-17) | 7,784 | .280 |
| 11. Air Force | 5-20 (3-17) | 7,595 | .284 |
2019 Football:
| TEAM | RECORD | FINAL CSA | SOA |
| 1. Boise State* | 12-2 (8-0) | 14,079 | .789 |
| 2. Air Force | 11-2 (7-1) | 12,079 | .707 |
| 3. Utah State | 7-6 (6-2) | 9,680 | .610 |
| 4. Hawaii* | 10-5 (5-3) | 8,134 | .540 |
| 5. San Diego State | 10-3 (5-3) | 8,012 | .534 |
| 6. Nevada | 7-6 (4-4) | 6,781 | .474 |
| 7. Wyoming | 5-4 (4-4) | 6,562 | .462 |
| 8. Colorado State | 4-8 (3-5) | 5,219 | .389 |
| 9. UNLV | 4-8 (2-6) | 4,595 | .356 |
| 10. Fresno State | 4-8 (2-6) | 4,336 | .341 |
| 11. San Jose State | 5-7 (2-6) | 4,273 | .334 |
| 12. New Mexico | 2-10 (0-8) | 2,564 | .223 |
2019-20 Basketball:
| TEAM | RECORD | Final CSA | SOA |
| 1. San Diego State* | 30-2 (17-1) | 29,767 | .755 |
| 2. UNLV | 17-15 (12-6) | 20,602 | .590 |
| 3. Utah State** | 26-8 (12-6) | 20,079 | .578 |
| 4. Nevada | 19-12 (12-6) | 19,802 | .572 |
| 5. Boise State | 20-12 (11-7) | 18,144 | .539 |
| 6. Colorado State | 20-12 (11-7) | 18,078 | .535 |
| 7. New Mexico | 19-14 (7-11) | 12,677 | .415 |
| 8. Fresno State | 11-19 (7-11) | 12,427 | .407 |
| 9. Air Force | 12-20 (5-13) | 10,504 | .360 |
| 10. San Jose State | 7-24 (3-15) | 8,586 | .308 |
| 11. Wyoming | 9-24 (2-16) | 7,551 | .277 |
2018 Football:
| TEAM | RECORD | FINAL CSA | SOA |
| 1. Boise State* | 10-3 (7-1) | 12,747 | .739 |
| 2. Fresno State* | 12-2 (7-1) | 11,581 | .690 |
| 3. Utah State | 11-2 (7-1) | 11,141 | .669 |
| 4. Nevada | 8-5 (5-3) | 8,410 | .553 |
| 5. Hawaii | 8-6 (5-3) | 8,070 | .537 |
| 6. Wyoming | 6-6 (4-4) | 6,672 | .466 |
| 7. San Diego State | 7-6 (4-4) | 6,507 | .463 |
| 8. Air Force | 5-7 (3-5) | 5,349 | .397 |
| 9. UNLV | 4-8 (2-6) | 5,036 | .384 |
| 10. Colorado State | 4-8 (2-6) | 4,205 | .330 |
| T11. New Mexico | 3-9 (1-7) | 3,334 | .276 |
| T11. San Jose State | 1-11 (1-7) | 3,344 | .276 |
2018-19 Basketball:
| TEAM | RECORD | Final CSA | SOA |
| 1. Nevada* | 29-5 (15-3) | 26,091 | .693 |
| 2. Utah State** | 28-7 (15-3) | 25,794 | .685 |
| 3. Fresno State | 23-9 (13-5) | 19,915 | .576 |
| 4. San Diego State | 21-13 (11-7) | 18,909 | .556 |
| 5. UNLV | 17-14 (11-7) | 17,873 | .531 |
| 6. Air Force | 14-18 (8-10) | 14,053 | .448 |
| 7. Boise State | 13-20 (7-11) | 13,704 | .439 |
| 8. New Mexico | 14-18 (7-11) | 12,953 | .423 |
| 9. Colorado State | 12-20 (7-11) | 12,747 | .417 |
| 10. Wyoming | 8-24 (4-14) | 9,378 | .329 |
| 11. San Jose State | 4-27 (1-17) | 6,773 | .255 |
| Football | ||
| *Division Champion | Conference Champion | |
| Basketball | ||
| *Regular Season Champion/Co-Champion | **Tournament Champion | Earned NCAA Tournament bid |
To see additional information about the Mountain West, including results and team stats, visit the Mountain West Conference page.
For more sports news, stories, and analytics, check out this list of articles! Also visit The Utah Statesman and USA Today's Mountain West Wire for even more coverage and analysis!
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